16-08-2019, 09:19 AM
It might be an interesting exercise to try to rate various theories quantitatively.
For instance, a Voynich forgery depends on unused parchment surviving 600 years - theoretically possible but unlikely- but what are the odds? A million to 1? How many instances of such have ever been observed?
By comparison, Aliens Didit must be far less likely - no confirmed cases ever - though maybe theoretically possible - odds perhaps a trillion to 1?
For instance, a Voynich forgery depends on unused parchment surviving 600 years - theoretically possible but unlikely- but what are the odds? A million to 1? How many instances of such have ever been observed?
By comparison, Aliens Didit must be far less likely - no confirmed cases ever - though maybe theoretically possible - odds perhaps a trillion to 1?