16-05-2021, 03:44 PM
(16-05-2021, 03:28 PM)farmerjohn wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.Average result is clearly 515 (=(550+506+514+490)/4)
Since number of experiments is 4, the overall tolerance increased 2 times and is roughly 18 (=(35+35+35+37)/4/2)
So final result is 515 +- 18 (as is stated in "Averaging the Results..." section, rounding errors may apply)
You go to the nut of my only complaint with this process... the averaging. Would anyone have averaged the results of, say...
- A German Land deed had a result of 550 BP
- An Italian letter resulted in the 506 BP
- A French poem gave the 514 BP
- And a British will came up with the 490 BP
That is, would we average them, and claim that they all were made between 1404 and 1438? Of course not. The Voynich results were only averaged on the preconception that the pages of the Voynich were all created within a short period of time, and that they were not assembled from a stock or stocks of calfskin from the range of dates actually obtained.
Yes, they could have been. But the results don't support that. Only when the preconception is applied, and the results averaged, do we arrive at the commonly used "result" of 1404-1438.
I feel the data from scientific testing should drive opinions and conclusions, and that data should not be manipulated on speculations. The danger of this is apparent when we read, as we often do, statements such as, "We know the Voynich calfskin was created in a short range of time, because the C14 testing tells us this". No, the C14 testing "tells us" that the calfskin was created over a period of 50 to 60, and even longer... generations... period of time.